Energy Storage Operating System

According to our analysis, the current situation has presented a notable prospect. Our findings indicate that over $5 billion was allocated to BESS investments in 2022, marking an almost threefold rise compared to the previous year. It is anticipated that the worldwide BESS market will achieve a valuation ranging from $120 billion to $150 billion by 2030, surpassing its current size by more than twofold. However, this market remains fragmented, posing challenges for numerous providers who are uncertain about their competitive positioning and strategies. It is crucial to seize this moment and determine the prime areas of growth in the swiftly advancing BESS market, while also making the necessary preparations for them.

From a technological standpoint, the primary factors that customers prioritize when it comes to batteries are cycle life and cost-effectiveness. Presently, lithium-ion batteries are prevailing because they fulfill customer requirements. In the past, the dominant choice for battery chemistry was a nickel manganese cobalt cathode. However, lithium iron phosphate (LFP) has emerged as a more cost-effective alternative, surpassing it in popularity. (Customers of lithium iron phosphate are willing to acknowledge that LFP may have certain limitations compared to nickel batteries, particularly in terms of energy density.) Nevertheless, the scarcity of lithium has led to the exploration of various intriguing and promising battery technologies, with a particular focus on cell-based options like sodium-ion (Na-ion), sodium-sulfur (Na-S), metal-air, and flow batteries.

The last section of the C&I subsegment encompasses challenging settings, including mining, construction, oil and gas exploration, as well as outdoor festivals. The driving force behind its expansion will be customers shifting from diesel or gas generators towards eco-friendly options like BESS and hybrid generators in order to mitigate emissions. One of the primary catalysts for the increasing adoption in this sector is the implementation of forthcoming regulations, such as the European Commission's sustainability-driven Big Buyers initiative and Oslo's objective to achieve net zero on construction sites by 2025. A significant number of companies transitioning to more environmentally friendly practices will initially opt for hybrid genset solutions as an intermediate step before fully transitioning to Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS).

In response to economic and operational challenges, there is a prevailing tendency within the industry to enhance or modify the EMS. Making the decision to retrofit the EMS carries significant weight, hence it is vital to meticulously plan the sequence of retrofitting actions. Approximately 20% of the deal flow that FlexGen handles consists of retrofits.

In an emerging market such as this, it is crucial to grasp the potential profits and profit margins linked to various products and services. The BESS value chain initiates with manufacturers responsible for producing storage components like battery cells, packs, inverters, housing, and other necessary elements within the system balance. Based on our calculations, the providers involved in this particular sector of the chain are expected to receive approximately 50% of the profit pool generated by the BESS market.

BESS EMS, when contrasted with solar SCADA, presents considerably greater complexity. Several owners have come to realize this through personal experiences that were challenging. The EMS assumes a significant level of accountability in relation to its cost, particularly for projects exceeding 100 MWh in size. In such cases, there are two cost metrics that are taken into consideration.

The commercial and industrial (C&I) sector, which ranks as the second-largest category, is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate of 13 percent according to our forecasts. This growth should result in annual additions ranging from 52 to 70 GWh by 2030 for the C&I sector.